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Who’s ahead in the New Jersey 7th District House race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Sept. 25, 2022

U.S. House, NJ-7, 2022

500V
Sep.20-26
500V
Malinowski
48%
Malinowski
48%

Malinowski

48%

Kean

48%
48%
Kean  Even

July 27, 2022

U.S. House, NJ-7, 2022

400LV
Jul.23-28
400LV
Malinowski
38%
Malinowski
38%

Malinowski

38%

Kean

46%
46%
Kean  Kean+8

Jan. 26, 2022

U.S. House, NJ-7, 2022

600LV
Jan.19-27
600LV
Malinowski
46%
Malinowski
46%

Malinowski

46%

Kean

46%
46%
Kean  Even

March 10, 2020

U.S. House, NJ-7, 2020

400LV
Mar.10-11
400LV
Malinowski
38%
Malinowski
38%

Malinowski

38%

Kean

39%
39%
Kean  Kean+1

June 25, 2019

U.S. House, NJ-7, 2020

400LV
Jun.24-26
400LV
Malinowski
42%
Malinowski
42%

Malinowski

42%

Kean

44%
44%
Kean  Kean+2
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Candidate is an incumbent

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