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Who’s ahead in the Illinois governor ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Governor, Illinois, 2022, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 5-7
1,208LV
Nov. 5-7
1,208LV
Pritzker
49%
Pritzker
49%

Pritzker

49%

Bailey

42%

Phillips

5%
42%
BaileyPritzker+8
Nov. 4-6
450LV
Nov. 4-6
450LV
Pritzker
59%
Pritzker
59%

Pritzker

59%

Bailey

39%
39%
Bailey  Pritzker+20
Oct. 22-25
659LV
Oct. 22-25
659LV
Pritzker
56%
Pritzker
56%

Pritzker

56%

Bailey

39%
39%
Bailey  Pritzker+17
Oct. 20-24
1,000LV
Oct. 20-24
1,000LV
Pritzker
52%
Pritzker
52%

Pritzker

52%

Bailey

42%

Schluter

3%
42%
BaileyPritzker+9
Oct. 13-15
600LV
Oct. 13-15
600LV
Pritzker
44%
Pritzker
44%

Pritzker

44%

Bailey

42%

Schluter

4%
42%
BaileyPritzker+2
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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