Why the Conflict on Israel’s Northern Border Is Growing More Intense

Last night, Hizballah fired a barrage of rockets into the Israeli town of Kiryat Shmonah, which sits close to the Lebanese border. No one was harmed, but a rocket attack on the same town on Tuesday left two people seriously injured. On Wednesday, a more alarming barrage from Lebanon hit Safed, which lies much further from the border, leaving one dead and eight wounded. In response to that attack, Israel carried out extensive airstrikes on Hizballah positions in Lebanon on Wednesday and Thursday, which Defense Minister Yoav Gallant described as an increase of “one level out of ten” over the intensity of previous IDF missions.

Notable also is a speech that Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of the Iran-backed terrorist group, delivered on Tuesday, in which he stated that attacks on Israel will only stop “when the shooting stops in Gaza,” and dismissing American and French diplomatic efforts to diffuse the situation. Eyal Zisser and Shaked Sadeh write:

In the 130 days of fighting, the IDF gained control over large parts of Gaza, weakened Hamas’s military power, and is now approaching Rafah, Hamas’s last stronghold. This is an uncomfortable reality for Nasrallah, who finds himself under a harsh spotlight in the Arab world, as many accuse him of not doing enough for Gaza. After all, he could have launched an all-out campaign against Israel, [even employing his ground forces].

Nasrallah’s speech was not new or very truthful. . . . Nasrallah also did not tell his listeners about the heavy blows the IDF struck against Hizballah, even though [the organization insists] on reporting the casualties in its ranks almost every evening.

For the first time, the ball is no longer in Nasrallah’s court, but in Israel’s, as it is the one to decide whether it wants to add and intensify its efforts in Gaza and maintain the conflict in Lebanon with a small fire, or perhaps turn its attention to escalation on the northern border as well. Nasrallah knows this and all he can do is try to calm his supporters and try to intimidate the Israelis so they won’t even consider going for a full-scale war against Hizballah.

Read more at Jerusalem Post

More about: Gaza War 2023, Hizballah, Israeli Security, Lebanon

The U.S. Has a New Plan to Stop Israel from Defeating Hamas

The editors of the Wall Street Journal rightly call the Biden administration’s new policy an arms embargo. (Subscription required.)

The administration would like to focus on the denial of 2,000-pound bombs, which it says are too destructive. Never mind that a professional force can employ them in a manner that restricts the radius of damage. Mr. Biden is also halting a shipment of 500-pound bombs and holding up Joint Direct Attack Munitions (JDAMs), which convert unguided bombs into precision “smart” bombs. Politico reports that small-diameter bombs are being withheld. The Journal adds that the Biden administration has been sitting on a deal that includes tank shells and mortar rounds.

The message from the White House, in other words, is that Israel shouldn’t have large bombs or small bombs, dumb bombs or smart bombs, and let it do without tanks and artillery too. Now isn’t a good time to send the weapons, you see, because Israel would use them.

But it’s even worse than that: withholding the JDAMs in effect encourages Israel to use dumb bombs in instances when precision weapons would be more effective, and less likely to cause harm to bystanders. And then there is the twisted logic behind the decision:

Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin and other U.S. officials explain that the goal of the embargo—which they present as a “pause” or “review”—is to prevent a wider Israeli attack on the Hamas stronghold of Rafah. This is the terrorists’ reward for using civilians as human shields.

It hasn’t been four weeks since Iran attacked Israel directly, in the largest drone attack in history, plus 150 or so ballistic and cruise missiles. . . . Israel needs to be ready now, and its enemies need to know the U.S. stands behind it.

Read more at Wall Street Journal

More about: Gaza War 2023, Hamas, Joseph Biden, U.S.-Israel relationship