Texas' 34th Congressional District election, 2020

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2022
2018
Texas' 34th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 9, 2019
Primary: March 3, 2020
Primary runoff: July 14, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
Filemon Vela (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Texas
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
Texas' 34th Congressional District
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Texas elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

All U.S. congressional districts, including the 34th Congressional District of Texas, held elections in 2020.

Incumbent Filemon Vela won election in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 34.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
December 9, 2019
March 3, 2020
November 3, 2020


Heading into the election the incumbent was Democrat Filemon Vela, who was first elected in 2012. The race was one of 56 U.S. House rematches from 2018.


Texas' 34th Congressional District is located in the southern portion of the state and includes Bee, Cameron, DeWitt, Goliad, Jim Wells, Kenedy, Kleberg, and Willacy counties and portions of Gonzales, Hidalgo, and San Patricio counties.[1]

Post-election analysis

The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

Presidential and congressional election results, Texas' 34th Congressional District, 2020
Race Presidential U.S. House
Democratic candidate Democratic Party 51.5 55.4
Republican candidate Republican Party 47.5 41.8
Difference 4 13.6

Election procedure changes in 2020

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Texas modified its absentee/mail-in voting, candidate filing, and early voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Local election officials could not reject an absentee ballot due to a perceived signature mismatch unless the voter was given a pre-rejection notice of this finding and a "meaningful opportunity to cure his or her ballot's rejection." Return locations for absentee/mail-in ballots were limited to one per county.
  • Candidate filing procedures: The petition deadline for independent candidates for non-presidential office was extended to August 13, 2020.
  • Early voting: Early voting began on October 13, 2020.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 34

Incumbent Filemon Vela defeated Rey Gonzalez Jr., Anthony Cristo, and Chris Royal in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 34 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Filemon_Vela.jpg
Filemon Vela (D)
 
55.4
 
111,439
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Dr._Rey_Gonzalez.jpg
Rey Gonzalez Jr. (R) Candidate Connection
 
41.8
 
84,119
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/AnthonyDCristo.jpg
Anthony Cristo (L)
 
1.6
 
3,222
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Chris_Royal.png
Chris Royal (Independent)
 
1.1
 
2,247

Total votes: 201,027
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 34

Incumbent Filemon Vela defeated Diego Zavala and Osbert Rodriguez Haro III in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 34 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Filemon_Vela.jpg
Filemon Vela
 
75.1
 
39,484
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Diego_Zavala.jpg
Diego Zavala Candidate Connection
 
18.5
 
9,707
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Osbert Rodriguez Haro III Candidate Connection
 
6.5
 
3,413

Total votes: 52,604
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 34

Rey Gonzalez Jr. defeated Rod Lingsch in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 34 on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Dr._Rey_Gonzalez.jpg
Rey Gonzalez Jr. Candidate Connection
 
56.3
 
10,665
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/RodLingsch.jpg
Rod Lingsch
 
43.7
 
8,271

Total votes: 18,936
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 34

Anthony Cristo advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 34 on March 21, 2020.

Candidate
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/AnthonyDCristo.jpg
Anthony Cristo (L)

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

One of 254 Texas counties—0.4 percent—is a Pivot County. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Jefferson County, Texas 0.48% 1.61% 2.25%

In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Texas with 52.2 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 43.2 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Texas cast votes for the winning presidential candidate 66.7 percent of the time. In that same time frame, Texas supported Democratic candidates slightly more often than Republicans, 53.3 to 46.7 percent. The state, however, favored Republicans in every presidential election between 2000 and 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Texas. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[2][3]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 54 out of 150 state House districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 37.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 65 out of 150 state House districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 36.4 points. Clinton won 10 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 96 out of 150 state House districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 36.2 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 85 out of 150 state House districts in Texas with an average margin of victory of 34.5 points.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+10, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 10 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Texas' 34th Congressional District the 119th most Democratic nationally.[4]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.11. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.11 points toward that party.[5]

Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Filemon Vela Democratic Party $993,228 $1,034,382 $564,720 As of December 31, 2020
Rey Gonzalez Jr. Republican Party $37,118 $37,446 $-2,950 As of December 31, 2020
Anthony Cristo Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Chris Royal Independent $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from three outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[6]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[7][8][9]

Race ratings: Texas' 34th Congressional District election, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.

Candidate ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for 34th Congressional District candidates in Texas in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.

Filing requirements, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Texas 34th Congressional District Democratic or Republican N/A N/A $3,125.00 Fixed number 12/9/2019 Source
Texas 34th Congressional District Unaffiliated 500 5% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election; not to exceed 500 N/A N/A 12/9/2019 (declaration of intent); 8/13/2020 (final filing deadline) Source

District election history

2018

See also: Texas' 34th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 34

Incumbent Filemon Vela defeated Rey Gonzalez Jr. in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 34 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Filemon_Vela.jpg
Filemon Vela (D)
 
60.0
 
85,825
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Dr._Rey_Gonzalez.jpg
Rey Gonzalez Jr. (R)
 
40.0
 
57,243

Total votes: 143,068
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 34

Incumbent Filemon Vela advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 34 on March 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Filemon_Vela.jpg
Filemon Vela
 
100.0
 
25,344

Total votes: 25,344
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 34

Rey Gonzalez Jr. advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 34 on March 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Dr._Rey_Gonzalez.jpg
Rey Gonzalez Jr.
 
100.0
 
10,227

Total votes: 10,227
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Texas' 34th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Filemon Vela (D) defeated Rey Gonzalez Jr. (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Vela faced no opposition in the Democratic primary on March 1, 2016, while Gonzalez defeated William "Willie" Vaden to win the Republican nomination.[10][11]

U.S. House, Texas District 34 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngFilemon Vela Incumbent 62.7% 104,638
     Republican Rey Gonzalez Jr. 37.3% 62,323
Total Votes 166,961
Source: Texas Secretary of State


U.S. House, Texas District 34 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngRey Gonzalez Jr. 50.6% 12,532
William Vaden 49.4% 12,253
Total Votes 24,785
Source: Texas Secretary of State

2014

See also: Texas' 34th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 34th Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Filemon Vela (D) defeated Larry Smith (R) and Ryan Rowley (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, Texas District 34 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngFilemon Vela Incumbent 59.5% 47,503
     Republican Larry Smith 38.6% 30,811
     Libertarian Ryan Rowley 2% 1,563
Total Votes 79,877
Source: Texas Secretary of State

See also

External links

Footnotes


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Chip Roy (R)
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