Presidential election in Arizona, 2020

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Arizona
2020 presidential election

Democratic primary: March 17, 2020
Democratic winner: Joe Biden

Republican primary: Canceled

Electoral College: 11 votes
2020 winner: Joe Biden (D)
2016 winner: Donald Trump (R)
2012 winner: Mitt Romney (R)

Presidential election by state, 2020

Former Vice President Joe Biden (D) won the presidential election in Arizona on November 3, 2020. Arizona was one of 13 battleground states. Biden won the presidential election with 306 electoral votes to President Donald Trump's (R) 232 electoral votes.

Biden won the Democratic primary on March 17, 2020. The Arizona Republican Party announced on September 9, 2019, that it would not hold a presidential primary.[1]

In the 17 elections between 1952 and 2016, the Democratic candidate only won in Arizona once (1996). In 2016, Trump won a plurality of votes in the state but not a majority. He received 48.7 percent of the vote, Hillary Clinton (D) received 45.1 percent, Gary Johnson (L) received 4.1 percent, and Jill Stein (G) received 1.3 percent.[2]

This page includes the following sections:

Lawsuits related to the presidential election in Arizona

See also: Ballotpedia's 2020 Election Help Desk: Presidential election results subject to lawsuits and recounts

Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. v. Hobbs

  • Case name: Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. v. Hobbs
  • Related election/s: Presidential election (Arizona)
  • Court: Maricopa County Superior Court
  • Issue: Whether ballots with facial irregularities (e.g., apparent overvotes, stray markings, etc.) cast in-person on Election Day were illegally disqualified without additional review.
  • Current status/outcome: Attorneys for the Trump campaign dropped the lawsuit.
  • Order/decision date: November 13, 2020
  • Order/opinion link: Link

Candidates and election results

General election


Presidential election results in Arizona, 2020
 
Candidate/Running mate
%
Popular votes
Electoral votes
✔
Image of
Image of
Joe Biden/Kamala D. Harris (D)
 
49.4
 
1,672,143 11
Image of
Image of
Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R)
 
49.1
 
1,661,686 0
Image of
Image of
Jo Jorgensen/Spike Cohen (L)
 
1.5
 
51,465 0
Image of
Image of
Howie Hawkins/Angela Nicole Walker (G) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
1,557 0
Image of
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Jade Simmons/Claudeliah Roze (Unaffiliated) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
236 0
Image of
Image of
Gloria La Riva/Sunil Freeman (Party for Socialism and Liberation) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
190 0
Image of
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Daniel Clyde Cummings/Ryan Huber (American Constitution Party) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
36 0
Image of
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
President Boddie/Eric Stoneham (Unaffiliated)
 
0.0
 
13 0

Incumbents are bolded and underlined The results have been certified.

Total votes: 3,387,326



Primary election

Arizona Democratic presidential primary on March 17, 2020
 
Candidate
%
Votes
Pledged delegates
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Official_portrait_of_Vice_President_Joe_Biden.jpg
Joe Biden
 
43.7
 
268,029 39
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Bernie_Sanders.jpg
Bernie Sanders
 
32.7
 
200,456 28
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Elizabeth_Warren--Official_113th_Congressional_Portrait--.jpg
Elizabeth Warren
 
5.8
 
35,537 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/150px-Pete_buttigieg.jpg
Pete Buttigieg
 
4.1
 
24,868 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/TulsiGabbardReplace.jpg
Tulsi Gabbard
 
0.5
 
3,014 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Screen_Shot_2019-02-21_at_3.25.16_PM.png
Andrew Yang
 
0.3
 
1,921 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/JulianCastro1.jpg
Julián Castro
 
0.1
 
754 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/3HaJVw3AYyXBdF9iSRPp977CBFrGCMDhc1w2rHKAC1yEKppTQoGMxtNCjAfntRbE3vPfKMrXcV5x6tsZ7rfuCzeUq2zG7qQsmao4URt.jpeg
Marianne Williamson
 
0.1
 
668 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/80269993_103687101151486_4284039189801992192_n.jpg
Roque De La Fuente III
 
0.1
 
628 0
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Michael Ellinger
 
0.0
 
284 0
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Deval_Patrick.jpg
Deval Patrick
 
0.0
 
242 0
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Henry Hewes
 
0.0
 
208 0
  Other
 
12.5
 
76,746 0

 Source

Total votes: 613,355 • Total pledged delegates: 67


Polls

PredictIt markets

See also: PredictIt markets in the 2020 presidential election

What is a PredictIt market?

PredictIt is an online political futures market in which users purchase shares relating to the outcome of political events using real money. Each event, such as an election, has a number of contracts associated with it, each correlating to a different outcome. For instance, an election contested between four candidates would be represented by eight separate contracts, with each contract correlating to a particular candidate winning or losing the election.

The price of a share in each individual contract rises and falls based on market demand. Once the event's outcome is decided, holders of shares that correlate with the correct outcome receive a $1 payout for each share they held.

For example, a user buys 10 shares at 20 cents each in a presidential primary saying Candidate A will win. If Candidate A wins the election, the user earns $10. If the candidate loses, the user earns no money and loses his original $2 investment.

Why do PredictIt markets matter?

Services such as PredictIt are being used to gain insight into the likely outcome of elections. Microsoft Research economist David Rothschild argues that they are better suited to the task than polls: "I can create a poll that can mimic everything about a prediction market...except markets have a way of incentivizing you to come back at 2 a.m. and update your answer."[5][6][7]

Campaign events in Arizona

This section features clips of Biden and Trump at presidential campaign events in Arizona during the 2020 general election.

Biden in Arizona

Biden and Harris in Phoenix, October 8, 2020

Trump in Arizona

Trump in Bullhead City, October 28, 2020
Trump in Goodyear, October 28, 2020
Trump in Prescott, October 19, 2020
Trump in Yuma, August 18, 2020
Trump in Phoenix, June 23, 2020

Government response to coronavirus pandemic in Arizona

Summary of changes to election dates and procedures

Arizona modified its voter registration procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Voter registration: Voters had until 5:00 p.m. on October 15, 2020, to register to vote.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

Frequently asked questions

See also: Ballotpedia's 2020 Election Help Desk: Presidential election

The 2020 election took place against a backdrop of uncertainty. Our readers had questions about what to expect in elections at all levels of government, from the casting of ballots to the certification of final results. Ballotpedia's 2020 Election Help Desk was designed to answer those questions. Ballotpedia is in the process of compiling and answering frequently asked questions related to the 2020 elections. Questions related to this election will be available soon.


Additional resources

Democratic primary

See also: Democratic presidential nomination, 2020
HIGHLIGHTS
  • Joe Biden won the Arizona Democratic primary election on March 17, 2020.
  • Arizona had an estimated 80 delegates comprised of 67 pledged delegates and 13 superdelegates. Delegate allocation was proportional.
  • The Democratic primary was closed, meaning only registered Democrats were able to vote in the election.


    • Former Vice President Joe Biden (D) was formally nominated as the Democratic presidential nominee at the 2020 Democratic National Convention on August 18, 2020.[8] The convention was originally scheduled to take place July 13-16, 2020.[9] Organizers postponed the event in response to the coronavirus pandemic.

    Prior to the national convention, individual state caucuses and primaries were held to allocate convention delegates. These delegates vote at the convention to select the nominee. In 2020, a Democratic presidential candidate needed support from 1,991 delegates to secure the nomination.

    Republican primary

    See also: Republican presidential nomination, 2020
    HIGHLIGHTS
  • The Arizona Republican Party announced on September 9, 2019, that it would not hold a presidential primary.[1]
  • State party chairwoman Kelli Ward said in a statement, "By opting out of the presidential preference election, our united Republican Party of Arizona will save taxpayers millions as we look ahead to the general election on Nov. 3."[1]


    • The Republican Party selected President Donald Trump as its presidential nominee at the 2020 Republican National Convention, which was held from August 24-27, 2020.[10]

    Prior to the national convention, individual state caucuses and primaries were held to allocate convention delegates. These delegates vote at the convention to select the nominee. Trump crossed the delegate threshold necessary to win the nomination—1,276 delegates—on March 17, 2020.

    George H.W. Bush (R) was the last incumbent to face a serious primary challenge, defeating political commentator Pat Buchanan in 1992. He was also the last president to lose his re-election campaign. Franklin Pierce (D) was the first and only elected president to lose his party's nomination in 1856.[11]

    Sixteen U.S. presidents—approximately one-third—have won two consecutive elections.

    For an overview of the 2016 presidential election in Arizona, click here.


    Candidate filing requirements

    See also: Ballot access requirements for presidential candidates in Arizona

    The tables below detail filing requirements for presidential candidates in Arizona in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arizona, click here.

    Presidential primary candidates

    Filing requirements for presidential primary candidates in Arizona, 2020
    State Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
    Arizona Democratic[12] 500 Fixed by statute N/A N/A 12/9/2019 Source

    Independent presidential candidates

    Filing requirements for independent candidates in Arizona, 2020
    State Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
    Arizona 37,769[13] 3% of registered voters in the state who are not affiliated with a political party N/A N/A 9/4/2020 Source

    Historical election results

    2016

    General election

    U.S. presidential election, Arizona, 2016
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
         Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 45.1% 1,161,167 0
         Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump/Mike Pence 48.7% 1,252,401 11
         Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 4.1% 106,327 0
         Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 1.3% 34,345 0
         Other Write-in votes 0.7% 18,925 0
    Total Votes 2,573,165 11
    Election results via: Arizona Secretary of State

    Primary election

    Arizona Democratic Primary, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes Delegates
    Green check mark transparent.pngHillary Clinton 56.3% 262,459 42
    Bernie Sanders 41.4% 192,962 33
    Roque De La Fuente 0.6% 2,797 0
    Henry Hewes 0.4% 1,845 0
    Martin O'Malley 0.8% 3,877 0
    Michael Steinberg 0.5% 2,295 0
    Totals 466,235 75
    Source: The New York Times and Arizona Secretary of State


    Arizona Republican Primary, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes Delegates
    Jeb Bush 0.7% 4,393 0
    Ben Carson 2.4% 14,940 0
    Chris Christie 0.2% 988 0
    Tim Cook 0% 243 0
    Ted Cruz 27.6% 172,294 0
    Carly Fiorina 0.2% 1,270 0
    Lindsey Graham 0.1% 498 0
    Mike Huckabee 0.2% 1,300 0
    John Kasich 10.6% 65,965 0
    George Pataki 0% 309 0
    Rand Paul 0.4% 2,269 0
    Marco Rubio 11.6% 72,304 0
    Rick Santorum 0.1% 523 0
    Green check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump 45.9% 286,743 58
    Totals 624,039 58
    Source: The New York Times and Arizona Secretary of State

    2012

    2008

    Presidential statewide margins of victory of 5 percentage points or fewer, 1948-2016

    See also: Presidential statewide margins of victory of 5 percentage points or fewer, 1948-2016

    The following map shows the number of times, in presidential elections held between 1948 and 2016, that the margin of victory was 5 percentage points or fewer in each state.

    • Wisconsin was the state with the most frequently narrow margins during this time period, appearing on the list in 10 presidential elections.
    • Five states appeared eight times: Florida, Missouri, Nevada, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.
    • The state with the narrowest margin of victory was Florida in 2000 at 537 votes or one-hundredth of a percentage point.

    Historical election trends

    See also: Presidential voting history by state

    Arizona presidential election results (1900-2020)

    • 9 Democratic wins
    • 19 Republican wins
    Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
    Winning Party N/A N/A N/A D D R R R D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R D R R R R R D


    Presidential election voting record in Arizona, 1912-2016

    Between 1912 and 2016:

    • Arizona participated in 27 presidential elections. Its first was in 1912.
    • Arizona voted for the winning presidential candidate 77.78 percent of the time. The average accuracy of voting for winning presidential candidates for all 50 states between 1900 and 2012 was 72.38 percent.[14]
    • Arizona voted Democratic 33.33 percent of the time and Republican 66.67 percent of the time.

    Presidential election voting record in Arizona, 2000-2016

    *An asterisk indicates that that candidate also won the national electoral vote in that election.

    State profile

    See also: Arizona and Arizona elections, 2019
    USA Arizona location map.svg

    Partisan data

    The information in this section was current as of May 7, 2019

    Presidential voting pattern

    • Arizona voted Republican in four out of the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2020.

    Congressional delegation

    State executives

    • Democrats held three of Arizona's 15 state executive offices and Republicans held nine. Elections for the other offices are nonpartisan.
    • Arizona's governor was Republican Doug Ducey.

    State legislature

    Arizona Party Control: 1992-2024
    No Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
    Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

    Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
    Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D
    Senate D R R R R R R R R S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
    House R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

    Arizona quick stats
    More Arizona coverage on Ballotpedia:


    Demographic data for Arizona
     ArizonaU.S.
    Total population:6,817,565316,515,021
    Land area (sq mi):113,5943,531,905
    Race and ethnicity**
    White:78.4%73.6%
    Black/African American:4.2%12.6%
    Asian:3%5.1%
    Native American:4.4%0.8%
    Pacific Islander:0.2%0.2%
    Two or more:3.2%3%
    Hispanic/Latino:30.3%17.1%
    Education
    High school graduation rate:86%86.7%
    College graduation rate:27.5%29.8%
    Income
    Median household income:$50,255$53,889
    Persons below poverty level:21.2%11.3%
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
    Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Arizona.
    **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


    Presidential election by state

    See also: Presidential election by state, 2020

    Click on a state below to navigate to information about the presidential election in that jurisdiction.

    https://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_election_in_STATE,_2020

    See also

    Footnotes

    1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 UPI, "Arizona Republican Party cancels 2020 presidential primary," September 10, 2019
    2. ↑ 270 to Win, "Arizona," accessed June 17, 2019
    3. ↑ Maricopa County Superior Court, "Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. v. Hobbs: Verified Complaint," November 7, 2020
    4. ↑ Maricopa County Superior Court, "Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. v. Hobbs: Notice of Partial Mootness," November 13, 2020
    5. ↑ Nature, "The power of prediction markets," October 18, 2016
    6. ↑ Politico, "Meet the 'stock market' for politics," October 31, 2014
    7. ↑ U.S. Presidential General Election Results, "2008 Electoral Map Based on the Intrade Prediction Market," accessed January 25, 2018
    8. ↑ Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, "2020 DNC in Milwaukee pushed back to week of August 17 in response to coronavirus pandemic," April 2, 2020
    9. ↑ The New York Times, "Milwaukee Picked as Site of 2020 Democratic National Convention," March 11, 2019
    10. ↑ Charlotte Observer, "Here’s when the 2020 Republican National Convention will be in Charlotte," October 1, 2018
    11. ↑ NPR, "When Has A President Been Denied His Party's Nomination?" July 22, 2009
    12. ↑ Note: The Republican Party declined to participate in the primary election. Candidates who could demonstrate that they had obtained ballot access in two other states did not have to file petitions.
    13. ↑ Note: Estimate based on available voter registration figures.
    14. ↑ This average includes states like Arizona, Hawaii, New Mexico, and Oklahoma, which did not participate in all 30 presidential elections between 1900 and 2012. It does not include Washington, D.C., which cast votes for president for the first time in 1964, and Alaska, which cast votes for president for the first time in 1960.
    15. ↑ This number refers to the number of times that the state voted for the winning presidential candidate between 2000 and 2016.
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