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Coronavirus real estate: Tech keeps Silicon Valley office market resilient, San Francisco is struggling

Silicon Valley poised for growth due to big tech companies but startup economy makes San Francisco vulnerable: CBRE

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    Heatherwick Studio

    Google canopy campus planned for a Mountain View site near the search giant's current Googleplex headquarters, concept. Big tech companies have buoyed Silicon Valley's prospects greatly enough that the region's office market is deemed to be the nation's most resilient and best-poised for growth despite coronavirus-linked uncertainties, CBRE reported.

  • Nvidia headquarters campus in Santa Clara, concept. Big tech companies...

    Gensler

    Nvidia headquarters campus in Santa Clara, concept. Big tech companies have buoyed Silicon Valley's prospects greatly enough that the region's office market is deemed to be the nation's most resilient and best-poised for growth despite coronavirus-linked uncertainties.

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    Signature Development Group

    Offices and gathering areas in Menlo Park's Willow Village, a mixed-use complex proposed by Facebook, concept. Big tech companies have buoyed Silicon Valley's prospects greatly enough that the region's office market is deemed to be the nation's most resilient and best-poised for growth despite coronavirus-linked uncertainties.

  • Apple Park spaceship campus in Cupertino. Big tech companies have...

    Jane Tyska/Bay Area News Group)

    Apple Park spaceship campus in Cupertino. Big tech companies have buoyed Silicon Valley's prospects greatly enough that the region's office market is deemed to be the nation's most resilient and best-poised for growth despite coronavirus-linked uncertainties.

  • Adobe North Tower that is a major expansion for the...

    Gensler, Adobe

    Adobe North Tower that is a major expansion for the tech titan's downtown San Jose headquarters campus, concept. Big tech companies have buoyed Silicon Valley's prospects greatly enough that the region's office market is deemed to be the nation's most resilient and best-poised for growth despite coronavirus-linked uncertainties.

  • Amazon logo at the top of a Sunnyvale office tower...

    (George Avalos/Bay Area News Group)

    Amazon logo at the top of a Sunnyvale office tower the online commerce giant leases. Big tech companies have buoyed Silicon Valley's prospects greatly enough that the region's office market is deemed to be the nation's most resilient and best-poised for growth despite coronavirus-linked uncertainties.

  • Gateway Plaza section of Google's Downtown West transit village in...

    Google LLC

    Gateway Plaza section of Google's Downtown West transit village in downtown San Jose, showing public and open spaces near the historic San Jose Water Co. building along West Santa Clara Street, concept. Big tech companies have buoyed Silicon Valley's prospects greatly enough that the region's office market is deemed to be the nation's most resilient and best-poised for growth despite coronavirus-linked uncertainties.

  • 88 Bluxome, a San Francisco office complex where Pinterest has...

    IwamotoScott Architecture

    88 Bluxome, a San Francisco office complex where Pinterest has canceled a lease of 490,000 square feet of office space amid a jump in sublease space available in that city. Big tech companies have buoyed Silicon Valley's prospects greatly enough that the region's office market is deemed to be the nation's most resilient and best-poised for growth despite coronavirus-linked uncertainties.

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George Avalos, business reporter, San Jose Mercury News, for his Wordpress profile. (Michael Malone/Bay Area News Group)
PUBLISHED: | UPDATED:

SAN JOSE — Big tech companies have buoyed Silicon Valley’s prospects and the region’s office market is deemed to be the nation’s most resilient and best-poised for growth despite coronavirus-linked uncertainties, according to a report CBRE released Monday.

In contrast to the optimistic outlook for Silicon Valley’s office sector, the office market in San Francisco, which is dominated by startups and venture-backed new tech companies, faces the “greatest risk” for increases in sublease space due to companies downsizing their office requirements, reported CBRE, a commercial real estate firm.

CBRE’s Tech 30 study focuses on the office markets in the nation’s 30 largest tech-oriented regions, including Silicon Valley, San Francisco, Los Angeles, San Diego, Seattle, New York City, and Boston.

“The tech industry has played a vital role in helping society and business adapt and sustain through this pandemic,” said Colin Yasukochi, executive director of CBRE’s tech insights sections. “Many of these firms are based in Silicon Valley and have been some of the best performers on the stock market, given their business prospects.”

Major tech companies such as Google, Adobe, Apple, Facebook, Netflix, Nvidia, LinkedIn, and Amazon are helping to drive the demand for office space in Silicon Valley, CBRE reported.

In contrast, some tech firms in San Francisco such as Pinterest have canceled leases or offered their space for sublease because they have decided to sharply scale back the amount of office space they require.

Silicon Valley experienced the fourth-greatest office rent growth among the dozens of tech markets that were surveyed, with an increase of 11.6% in office rents over the two years that ended June 30, CBRE reported.

“Big tech dominates Silicon Valley office space occupancy and provides a strong underpinning for resilience and growth in the years ahead,” Yasukochi said.

San Francisco, however, is a major office center for smaller and startup tech companies, CBRE noted.

“The city of San Francisco contains the largest concentration of young start-up and public companies that have been significantly affected by the pandemic-related shutdowns,” Yasukochi said.

Mountain View — where Google maintains its headquarters and has grabbed a widening amount of office space through leases and property purchases — has the second-lowest vacancy rate among tech-dominated cities with a 3.2% office vacancy, second only to the South Lake Union district of Seattle.

Technology companies have played a key role amid government-ordered business shutdowns to combat the coronavirus — and will likely continue to be a major factor once the closures to battle the deadly bug are eased once and for all, CBRE said.

This outcome, if it occurs, would bode well for the office markets in Silicon Valley and possibly San Francisco.

“The tech industry was indispensable in enabling continued business activity during the COVID-19 shutdown,” CBRE stated in its report. “It will likely lead the next growth cycle by accelerating the digital transformation of the economy.”